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9 out of 10. That's how many of this week's Capital Flow Leaders are Energy names. Every week I score the entire S&P 500. Where is institutional money flowing. Is the trend confirmed. Is the move accelerating. One number, 0 to 100. The top 10 stocks with the highest scores become the Capital Flow Leaders. This week, Energy ran the table. Targa Resources. Texas Pacific Land. Baker Hughes. Occidental. Kinder Morgan. Williams Companies. APA. Chevron. The sector ETF itself. Nine names. All Energy. The only outsider was Ball Corporation out of Materials. That's not a coincidence. That's institutional capital making a decision and not caring about who sees it. Why Energy Won't Let GoI'm still having conversations with traders about when they should be buying the dip in the tech sector.. Listen, I get it. But please.. look at the data. Fund flow data last week showed $14.6 billion flowing into equity funds. $9.2 billion of that went international. Commodity producing countries. Emerging markets. Places that win when energy prices stay elevated and the dollar stays weak. The positioning data shows managed money net long crude oil contracts. Net long copper contracts. Net long gold contracts. These aren't retail traders. These are some of the biggest funds in the world telling you where they want to be. And price is confirming all of it. XLE is up 23% year to date. Every single stock in the top 10 is trending higher. You can't draw it any cleaner than this. When the flow data, the positioning data, and the price action all agree, I don't argue with it. I find the best names to own and I ride the trend higher. The NamesBaker Hughes (BKR). Flow Score 93 out of 100. Up 43% year to date. Oilfield services. When the entire energy complex is receiving institutional capital, the companies that service the industry get a multiplier effect. It doesn't matter who's producing the oil. BKR gets paid either way. Targa Resources (TRGP). Flow Score 93. Up 26% year to date. Midstream natural gas. This name doesn't need oil at $100. It collects fees on the volume flowing through its systems. When energy capex is rising and institutional money is pouring into the sector, TRGP wins. Chevron. Flow Score 90. Up 11% year to date. The integrated major. When institutional money is flowing into Energy at this pace, the big names with fortress balance sheets and global production footprints are where the serious capital goes. CVX is the blue chip way to play this rotation. These stocks are all above every major moving average. All moving averages rising. Institutional money pouring in. Momentum accelerating. That's the trifecta. The Other SideWhile Energy is scoring 89 out of 100 as a sector, Technology is sitting at 35. Consumer Discretionary at 39. Every single stock in the bottom 10 of our rankings this week is a Technology name. CrowdStrike. First Solar. Accenture. GoDaddy. Broken trends. Fading momentum. Institutional money heading for the exits. Does that change soon? Maybe. But for now, no. That's a 77 point spread between the best and worst stocks in the S&P 500 right now. The market is not being particularly subtle about what it wants to own. Follow The MoneyThis is what we do every week inside the Market Blueprint. Three reports. Capital Flow Leaders. Smart Money Exits. The Flow Map. Real institutional flow data turned into a single score that tells you where the money is going and where it's leaving. Then we plan our trades around the leaders. Which are your favorite energy-related trades? Are you in any right now? And which ones do you expect to make the most? I'm always looking for the next best trade to take. Let me know! Profits Over Prophets, Hamilton PS. Every week inside TTI, we break down exactly which sectors, industries, and individual stocks are leading.. and which ones to avoid. If you want the full playbook, including our live weekly Market Blueprint sessions and real time trade alerts, join us here. |
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The Fertilizer Index broke out to multi-year highs today. Not AI. Not semiconductors. Fertilizer. The stuff that literally comes out of the ground. Nasdaq US Benchmark Fertilizers Index, NQUSB55201015, Daily We covered this last week during the Execution Report webinar. The setup was all over the data. And today we sold a double in DOW.. a specialty chemicals name scoring 84 in our Flow Score with perfect trend and momentum readings. Dow Inc, DOW, Daily A double. 100%. In 4 weeks. In a...
The rotation out of US domestic assets isn't slowing down. It's accelerating. Over the last five sessions, emerging market bonds (EMB) pulled in over $1 billion in inflows. At the same time, US high yield corporate debt (HYG) saw nearly $500 million walk out the door. Think about what that means. Investors are choosing emerging market debt over US corporate junk bonds. Emerging Market Bonds vs High Yield Corporate Debt, EMG/HYG, Weekly The EMB/HYG ratio tells you everything. When it's rising,...
A lot happened this week in the markets.. crude oil up 30%+ is obviously where most people are focused. But as I went through our Flow Report yesterday, something stuck out to me that's even more important than what the energy sector is telling us.. This week, $967 million flowed into long duration Treasuries. At the same time, $1 billion left high yield corporate bonds. Another $1 billion left investment grade corporate bonds. Read that again. Institutions are buying government bonds and...