The Bears Need To Do This ASAP


In case you haven't heard..

The Mag-7 trade is dead. Tech is on its last legs. And the bull market is nearly over.

At least, that's what Gold is saying. And Silver. And Energy. And everything else according almost everyone else that has an opinion.

Except me. I don't think any of that.

Actually, quite the opposite. I think there's a possibility here that we're still very much in the middle of a cyclical bull market which is poised to continue ripping higher.

And it all starts with the charts.

Consolidation Isn't Bearish

Maybe it's because we live in a world where we can get almost anything we want within a few key strokes.

Or maybe it's because most peoples attention spans run about 7 seconds nowadays.

But I'm here to tell you that trends pausing to digest massive moves aren't necessarily bearish.

Especially when we're looking to capture the bigger move.

Take the NASDAQ (QQQ) for example:

QQQ rocketed higher over 55% from early April 2025 until late October 2025.. and since then has built out a symmetrical triangle, a common continuation fractal.

Continuation fractals are important to technical traders because they represent opportunities to raise stops, manage risk, and potentially open new positions.

More importantly, continuation fractals overwhelmingly resolve in the direction of the primary trend.

In this case, that means higher.

Is it frustrating to traders and investors who continued trading the Growth trade the same in November, December and January as they did in the summer months last year? Yeah.

But that's how this stuff works. Sectors and industries rotate. Capital flows shift to bring lagging areas of the market up while leading areas take time to digest moves.

We focus on exactly that inside of TTI.. building the bigger picture, tracking capital flows, and owning the new leadership groups as early as possible.

It doesn't mean the Growth trade is over. As a matter of fact..

The Burden Of Proof Is On The Bears

It's easy to be bearish.

There's always something to worry about. And always some snake oil salesman selling a doomsday prophecy.

We know that they rarely come true. But that doesn't stop people from falling for them.

You see.. in primary uptrends, the burden of proof is on the bears as to why the bull market is over.

And it's not enough to simply be mad at the market because you're losing money. Why is the current uptrend on the verge of resolving lower?

Here's how I am looking at it..

If the bears are right.. and maybe they are.. I think it comes through over the next two weeks as the Mag-7 begin reporting earnings.

Here's how they look today:

Most of the Mag-7 are down since they peaked as a group in late October 2025.

Some were down over 20%. Think about that..

The largest stocks in the world lost over 20% of their market cap and the broader market continued to grind higher..

Does that belong in the bearish bucket? Or the bullish bucket?

Here's how the Mag-7 stocks have performed since October 31st 2025:

If this bull market is on the verge of collapse.. and the next bear market is around the corner..

We'll know over the next two weeks as the Mag-7 companies begin reporting earnings.

Remember..

I care more about how the market reacts to the earnings reports than the earnings reports themselves.

And this is a great chance for the largest bulls in the markets to scoop up the best companies in the world at discounted prices.

Profits Over Prophets,

Hamilton

PS. Billy just hit his first 2,000% win with us this morning. When's it your turn? All of the info is here: https://docs.google.com/document/d/1IHn3NaLaV460Qi2Ju08nZLthlxTCZcnujx8R0NeBgvQ

The Trading Initiative

If you’re looking for macro takes, CNBC headlines, or excuses for why nothing works — you’re in the wrong place. The Trading Initiative is where real traders come to level up. We don’t chase news. We don’t follow narratives. We follow price. Led by Hamilton, TTI teaches traders how to identify trends, isolate relative strength, and capture momentum like professionals. If you’re ready to stop second-guessing and start trading like it’s your business, this is where you belong.

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