If you’re looking for macro takes, CNBC headlines, or excuses for why nothing works — you’re in the wrong place. The Trading Initiative is where real traders come to level up. We don’t chase news. We don’t follow narratives. We follow price. Led by Hamilton, TTI teaches traders how to identify trends, isolate relative strength, and capture momentum like professionals. If you’re ready to stop second-guessing and start trading like it’s your business, this is where you belong.
The "New" Bull Market in Tech Rolls On
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Every few months, the market rolls out a new reason the AI trade is “over.” A couple of years ago it was NVDA and CoreWeave. Then it was Chinese AI. Then it was the Oracle debt crisis. The narrative always changes. But price never lies. The real engine behind AI continues to press higher the entire time. It isn't the Mag-7.. It's the entire Semiconductor industry. And it's trading at all-time highs. The Bull Market ResetLast year I went on record stating that a new bull market in Tech and Semiconductors had begun. To say that was a gutsy call is an understatement.. and a lot of people let me know that. But that's what trading is about. Gutsy calls. Put your money where your mouth is. Fortune favors the bold, etc. From mid-2024 through early-2025, Tech and Semis went nowhere. Nine months of sideways price action worked off excesses while leadership was lost. Then the drawdown hit. XLK fell nearly 30%. SMH dropped over 40%. NVDA fell over 45%! Those are bear market moves. Fast. Violent. Emotional. Every technical indicator we track was fully reset. Momentum collapsed. Relative strength bottomed. Trends broke down and then violently rebounded. That’s how bull markets are born.. from capitulation. Then the regime flipped again.. Since the April lows, Technology has led every major US sector. Semiconductors have done even better. The earlier you can identify these significant changes in trend and take a position.. the more money you will make over time. All-Time Highs Are BullishTech is the most important sector in the global market. Semiconductors are the most important industry group inside it. And Semiconductors are trading at all-time highs today: But here's where it gets really exciting for me. Not only is the Semiconductor industry trading at all-time highs on an absolute basis.. it's also trading at all-time highs against the S&P 500: The last time SMH fell 30% versus SPY was late 2021 into 2022. What followed was a 100% relative outperformance run. We saw the same setup again in 2024–2025. A 30% drawdown. A full reset. And now a 57% relative surge.. less than a year into a new bull market. I’m not betting this is the top. I’m buying dips in the leaders. It's really this simple.. I follow trends. That makes some people uncomfortable. That’s fine. Eventually their money moves into the hands of those who respect trends. That's me. But I'm not delusional.. This bull market won’t last forever. None do. Which is exactly why I’m focused on extracting as much profit from it as possible now. I encourage you to try to do the same. In the mean time, which Semiconductor setups look the most attractive to you here? Or the AI trade in general? We just took a position today in a market leader.. and I'm looking to add more exposure now while everyone is focused on buying new positions in precious metals. Let me know what you're looking at. Profits Over Prophets, Hamilton PS. Shout out to Arvin who just nailed his first 1,000% trade with us this morning on Silver (SLV): If you haven't hit one yet, I'll show you how we do it: https://docs.google.com/document/d/1IHn3NaLaV460Qi2Ju08nZLthlxTCZcnujx8R0NeBgvQ |
The Trading Initiative
If you’re looking for macro takes, CNBC headlines, or excuses for why nothing works — you’re in the wrong place. The Trading Initiative is where real traders come to level up. We don’t chase news. We don’t follow narratives. We follow price. Led by Hamilton, TTI teaches traders how to identify trends, isolate relative strength, and capture momentum like professionals. If you’re ready to stop second-guessing and start trading like it’s your business, this is where you belong.
In case you haven't heard.. The Mag-7 trade is dead. Tech is on its last legs. And the bull market is nearly over. At least, that's what Gold is saying. And Silver. And Energy. And everything else according almost everyone else that has an opinion. Except me. I don't think any of that. Actually, quite the opposite. I think there's a possibility here that we're still very much in the middle of a cyclical bull market which is poised to continue ripping higher. And it all starts with the charts....
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