There Goes The Energy Trade


Energy is up 25% year to date. And it's set to gap up nearly 4% by market open.

The situation in the Middle East is a huge factor here, but the truth is this..

The strength in the Energy sector has been building for months.

Last month, I wrote about the massive de-grossing happening under the hood.

While Tech was getting hammered, Energy was breaking out to fresh 52 week highs. Not many people cared. Everyone was focused on timing the bottom in Software stocks.

Over the last sixteen years, I've made more money buying uptrends than trying to buy downtrends.

And two weeks ago we talked about how this is a fundamentally different market than 2024 or 2025. The real economy sectors are taking the lead.

That hasn't changed.. as a matter of fact, if this weekend proved anything.. it's speeding up.

Here's what the data looks like right now..

Nine of our top ten ranked stocks are Energy names coming into this week.

TRGP. BKR. TPL. APA. OXY. VLO. CVX. All scoring above 90. All with institutional money flowing in, confirmed uptrends, and accelerating momentum.

We were able to grab Chevron (CVX) last week as it flirted with an all-time high breakout above $186.25:

And with CVX gapping up nearly 4% this morning, we have a real shot at selling a double near 100% in profits this week.

Which Energy trades have you opened over the last couple of weeks? Anything we highlighted last week? Let me know by replying to this email.

Our move into Energy over the last couple of months had nothing to do with a gut feeling. I'm certainly not a geopolitical expert. The truth is I look at capital flows.

I ignore what people say on TV and X. And instead I focus on where fund managers are actually putting their money.

Which sectors are receiving inflows week after week? How is managed money positioning in the futures market? Which stocks are set to benefit the most from the current environment?

That's what I focus on before anything else. Because liquidity and positioning are the most important thing in the market.

Over the past few months, I formalized everything into a system I call the Flow Score. It ranks every sector and every stock from 0 to 100 based on three pillars: institutional capital flow, trend, and momentum.

None of this is opinion based. It's entirely based on tracking where the most important pools of money in the world are rotating.

The Flow Score didn't tell me what would happen in the Middle East this weekend. It told me that institutional money had been pouring into Energy for months. So we followed the flow.

The Market Blueprint

Over the last couple of weeks, I've teased a new service within The Trading Initiative that focuses on longer term trades and positioning.

Many of you were interested. And today it goes live.

It's called the Market Blueprint. Every week we'll go through the full Flow Score rankings, send you three institutional flow reports, and break it all down live during our weekly webinar. Plus Flow Trade alerts, portfolio tracking, and a full course on how the Flow Score works so you know why we're buying (or selling) real time.

I built this for busy people who don't have the time to sit behind a screen all day. You don't need to.. and I don't want you to. Our Flow Trades last weeks to months. You check in, you execute, you go live your life.

If you want to try, it's $149 a month. But our Flow Trades tend to play out over weeks and months, not days. The yearly plan at $999 is where you'll get the most value.

And this week I am offering a founders rate: $899 for your first year with code MARKETBLUEPRINT2026.

Click here to learn more.

If you happen to join this morning, we're going live at 10:30AM EST for our weekly Market Blueprint webinar.

I'll go through this weeks biggest themes, narratives, flow scores, and more. Plus we'll update our current trades and positioning.

See you at 10:30AM EST.

Profits Over Prophets,

Hamilton

The Trading Initiative

If you’re looking for macro takes, CNBC headlines, or excuses for why nothing works — you’re in the wrong place. The Trading Initiative is where real traders come to level up. We don’t chase news. We don’t follow narratives. We follow price. Led by Hamilton, TTI teaches traders how to identify trends, isolate relative strength, and capture momentum like professionals. If you’re ready to stop second-guessing and start trading like it’s your business, this is where you belong.

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